Trump would easily beat DeSantis in the Republican primary, new Harvard polls show

Ex-President Donald Trump would easily beat Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ challenge in a Republican primary, a new poll shows.

The Harvard CAPS-Harris poll, published by The Hill, shows that just under half of GOP voters would prefer Trump in the primary.

The former The Apprentice host would have 48 percent of the vote, giving him a 20-point advantage over DeSantis, considered by many to be the Republican Party’s rising star.

Trump’s poll numbers are also up three percent over the past month, even as he faces a spate of investigations and wondered why candidates he backed failed against their Democratic rivals in the midterm elections.

The other candidates in the poll were Trump’s former Vice President Mike Pence, who received seven percent, while Florida Senator Marco Rubio and former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley each received just three percent.

The Harvard CAPS-Harris poll, published by The Hill, shows that just under half of GOP voters would prefer Trump in the primary

The Harvard CAPS-Harris poll, published by The Hill, shows that just under half of GOP voters would prefer Trump in the primary

Polls from late last year showed that DeSantis was gnawing at Trump's popularity, a bump that appears to have fizzled out

Polls from late last year showed that DeSantis was gnawing at Trump’s popularity, a bump that appears to have fizzled out

Speaking to The Hill, poll co-director Mark Penn said, “Trump has strengthened somewhat, but Ron DeSantis continues to strengthen as well. Trump is ahead but already has all the votes he can get — DeSantis is the potential nominee.

The survey polled 2,050 registered voters from across the United States between January 18 and 19.

The Harvard poll echoed the results of a Morning Consult poll released earlier this week, which also gave Trump 48 percent of the vote. This poll polled 3,763 prospective Republican primary voters.

In that poll, Trump beat DeSantis by a whopping 17 points.

Those results come after multiple polls suggested DeSantis could oust Trump as the Republican favorite — though it’s far too early to tell.

As with most similar polls, Trump and DeSantis are the top two favorites at this point in the election cycle. No other candidate manages to crack 10 percent.

Although the Florida governor has no explicit interest in running for the White House in 2024, his refusal to rule out a potential key challenge for Trump has infuriated the former president.

Polls late last year showed DeSantis hurt Trump’s popularity in the polls in the aftermath of the twice-indicted ex-president having dinner in Mar-a-Lago with Kanye West and Holocaust denier Nick Fuentes.

Former VP Pence came third in the poll but still failed to break into double digits

Former VP Pence came third in the poll but still failed to break into double digits

Former South Carolina Gov. and Trump UN Ambassador Nikki Haley has signaled she could throw her hat in the ring for 2024

Former South Carolina Gov. and Trump UN Ambassador Nikki Haley has signaled she could throw her hat in the ring for 2024

Florida Senator Marco Rubio was clearly defeated by Donald Trump in the 2016 GOP primary

Florida Senator Marco Rubio was clearly defeated by Donald Trump in the 2016 GOP primary

A poll released earlier this month by Morning Consult showed results similar to the most recent Harvard poll

A poll released earlier this month by Morning Consult showed results similar to the most recent Harvard poll

A USA Today/Suffolk University poll from the same period gave Trump a favorable rating among Republican voters of 64 percent, compared to 75 percent in October 2022.

A January CBS News poll found that a whopping 81 percent of Republican voters wanted to vote for candidates who were in a shape similar to Trump’s.

While 35 percent said it was “very important” that their representatives on the ground and in Washington adhere to the former president.

A total of 65 percent of respondents say loyalty to Trump is either very or fairly important, while just 14 percent said it is “not important at all” and 21 percent said it is “not too important” to them.

The results are similar to the same poll last year and show very little reassessment by the Republican Party and its attitude towards Trump as party leader.

A separate poll conducted by WPA Intelligence this month found that DeSantis would comfortably defeat incumbent President Joe Biden if the January 2023 election happened.

In a lavish ceremony in the ballroom at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida on Nov. 15, Trump announced he would run for a third shot in the White House.

But the campaign got off to a slow start, with relatively little fanfare compared to the fanfare he made as an underdog candidate in 2016 and his bombastic plea for re-election from the rowdy White House pulpit in 2020.

He’s finally holding his first official campaign event for 2024 later this month, more than two months after filing the paperwork.

Meanwhile, President Joe Biden’s public approval rating this week was near the lowest level of his presidency as Republicans leveled criticism at classified documents found at his home in recent months, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The three-day national poll, which ended Sunday, showed 40 percent of Americans approved of Biden’s performance as president, up from 39 percent in a Reuters/Ipsos poll a month earlier.

Biden started 2023 buoyed by better-than-expected midterm election results for the Democrats. US inflation also eased and the Republican Party appeared in disarray after it took days to elect a speaker for the US House of Representatives.

However, the latest poll results suggest these factors may not have changed public opinion much about the president as he prepares for an expected re-election in 2024.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11661113/Trump-easily-beat-DeSantis-Republican-primary-new-Harvard-poll-shows.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490 Trump would easily beat DeSantis in the Republican primary, new Harvard polls show

Emma Colton

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